30s Summary

The U.S. Republican Party is set to maintain control over the House of Representatives after already commanding the Senate and White House following the 2024 elections. The Republicans are leading with 210 seats, with the threshold for majority being 218 seats. According to betting site Polymarket, there’s now a 98.5% chance they will secure the House. The Republicans are also leading in several key states, with potential leads in 14 of the 27 remaining races. Currently, the projected seat count for Republicans could be 224, a slight increase from the previous 222.

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It looks like the U.S. Republican Party will be keeping a firm hold on the House of Representatives. This would round off a great political “hat trick” after they already took control of the Senate and the White House in the 2024 elections.

By the latest reports, 409 out of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives have been called. The score so far? The Democrats have taken 199 seats while the Republicans are leading with 210 seats. Whichever party reaches 218 seats first claims the majority. As it stands, the Republicans are very close to that goal. The betting site Polymarket predicted the Republicans had a 51% chance of winning the House from 8:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday, and this prediction has now increased to an almost sure thing with a 98.5% chance.

According to the most recent results, the Republicans are leading in at least 14 out of the 27 remaining races. If they manage to hold onto these leads, they’ll keep control over the House of Representatives for at least another two years.

Results from individual states are trickling in. In Alaska, Republican candidate Nick Begich has a 10,000-vote lead against Democrat Mary Peltola. The situation is similar in Arizona where Republican Congressman David Schweikert and Republican Eli Crane both have around 10,000-vote leads. However, Democrat Greg Stanton has a large lead in one of Arizona’s House races, while Juan Ciscomani, another Republican, is just slightly behind with 70% of votes reported.

There are closer races in Iowa and Nebraska where Republican candidates Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Don Bacon are edging out their Democrat competitors. Also in Washington, Republican Dan Newhouse looks ready to win against another Republican opponent.

Democrats now need to perform a clean sweep in California, as well as in the other districts in which they’re leading, to take back the House. At the time of writing, Republicans are leading in seven of these races.

Republican candidates are ahead in many California districts. David Valadao, Michael Garcia, Young Kim, and Michelle Steel all have leads, while Republicans Ken Calvert, John Duarte, and Scott Baugh are all just slightly in front.

Right now, it looks like the Republicans could end up with 224 seats. This would be a small boost from the 222 they held in the previous Congress. And if the betting site Polymarket is anything to go by, there’s an 86% chance that they’ll end up in this range. But this is politics and anything could happen until the last vote is counted!